Up the RiverDown the River

How the forecast works

  1. Play the rest of the game 2,000 times. The app replays every round still to come, over and over, on the computer.
  2. Use what each player really scores. In each replay, a player's score for a round is picked from scores they've actually had with about that many cards: tonight, and with With history, in past games under the same name.
  3. History fades as tonight goes on. Lots of past rounds count for more; every round played tonight shifts the weight towards tonight.
  4. No one's a sure thing after a lucky start. Anyone with only a few rounds behind them is nudged towards the table's average.
  5. Read the results. The % next to a name is how often they finished on top. The dotted line is where they finish on average.

It can't see anyone's cards, and the replayed rounds don't have to add up exactly, so treat it as a guide, not a prophecy. Names are matched ignoring capitals and spaces, so keep everyone's name the same from game to game.